Match Info

J2 League - Round 10

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	JEF United Chiba		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.78	3.5	4.3	Watch
	1.78	3.73	4.8
	1.77	3.5	4.62	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.74	3.91	4.22	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.5)	3.59 ↓ (4.1)	4.29 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
52.5%

Draw
25.9%

Oita Trinita
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JEF United Chiba's form might have worsened.

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 13. Suzuki D. 15. Mae T. 7. Tanaka K. 4. Taguchi T. 6. Eduardo 14. Tsubaki N. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Carlinhos	32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 31. Matheus Pereira 3. Derlan 44. Yoshida M. 38. Amagasa T. 29. Utsumoto S. 25. Sakakibara K. 10. Nomura N. 9. Arima K. 15. Yashiki Y.
Substitutes
9. Goya H. 17. Hayashi M. 67. Hidaka M. 27. Iwai T. 28. Kawano T. 44. Shinada M. 18. Sugiyama N. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 10. Yokoyama A.	21. Ayukawa S. 14. Ikeda R. 13. Isa K. 20. Kimoto T. 19. Kozakai A. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 4. Satsukawa A. 30. Tone I. 39. Udo S.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.	Katanosaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Eduardo ⚽, Tsubaki N. (A),
56', Yashiki Y. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
62', Carlinhos ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
70', Utsumoto S. ↓, Satsukawa A. ↑,
70', Nodake J. ↓, Kimoto T. ↑,
73', Taguchi T. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
73', Tsubaki N. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
82', Arima K. ↓, Tone I. ↑,
83', Nomura N. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches JEF United won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently JEF United have a series of guest games.

In this match JEF United is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches JEF United won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.7:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams JEF United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	Fujieda MYFC - JEF United Chiba	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kataller Toyama - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	Oita Trinita - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Ehime - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.09.24	Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba	0:2
13.04.24	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	1:1
24.06.23	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	1:1
19.03.23	Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba	2:1
02.07.22	Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba	3:2
30.04.22	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	0:3
21.10.18	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	2:4

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