The best margin for this event is 11.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JKS Jarosław 28.4%
Draw 25.7%
KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 45.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.9%
26%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
26.2%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JKS Jarosław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JKS Jarosław's form might have worsened.
KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JKS Jarosław, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).
JKS Jarosław is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Ostrowiec have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ostrowiec is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, JKS Jarosław has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JKS Jarosław against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
14
8
5
1
26:11
15
29
10
Jaroslaw
14
5
2
7
29:26
3
17
Last Results with these Odds
KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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