Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 12Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Jacareí |
|
Comercial SP |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.98 |
2.88 |
3.85 |
|
 |
2.19 |
2.71 |
3.58 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.75 |
3.7 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.04 |
2.79 |
3.95 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.9) |
2.81 ↓
(3.01) |
3.8 ↓
(4.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jacareí
43.8% | Draw
32.3% | Comercial SP
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jacareí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacareí than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Jacareí - Comercial SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', 🟥,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).Jacareí is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Comercial SP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Jacareí is a strong favorite. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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