Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 17
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Jagiellonia Białystok		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5
	1.41	4.7	6.9
	1.42	4.65	7.78
	1.58	3.91	5.87	Watch
	1.45	4.53	7.19
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.51 ↑ (3.95)	7.04 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
65.5%

Draw
21%

KuPS Kuopio
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

25.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	6.5%	9.7%

Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Jagiellonia (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Jagiellonia (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - KuPS (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 4 - 50%). KuPS (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 3. Stojinovic D. 13. Vital B. 27. Wdowik B. 9. Rallis D. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 10. Pululu A. 80. Pietuszewski O.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 25. Antwi C. 34. Ruoppi O. 10. Arifi D. 13. Oksanen J. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 20. Toure M. 9. Parzyszek P.
Substitutes
66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 31. Flach L. 55. Hirosawa T. 25. Jackson A. 4. Kobayashi Y. 21. Lozano S. 22. Piekutowski M. (G) 5. Polak C. 18. Prip L. 17. Sylla Y.	24. Armah B. 35. Golubickas P. 12. Hakala A. (G) 22. Konate P. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 37. Pitkanen M. (G) 4. Ricardo P. 11. Sadiku A. 28. Seidu S. 7. Voutilainen J.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Wiss J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
63', Toure M. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
63', Pennanen P. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
68', Rallis D. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
68', Pozo A. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
73', Hamalainen T. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
79', Mazurek B. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
82', Antwi C. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
82', Arifi D. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
87', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
89', Miettinen S. 🟨,
90+3', Vital B. 🟨,

Preview

Jagiellonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KuPS is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jagiellonia is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Imaz J. (Red Card)

There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D. (Inactive) Salo R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in KuPS: Heinonen A. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Club Friendly
14.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLW
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.11.25	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	KuPS Kuopio - Slovan Bratislava	3:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.11.25	KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku	3:2 ✺
30.10.25	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
27.10.25	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW

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