Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.25	4.65
	1.55	4.42	4.01
	1.18	7.38	10.30	Watch
	1.53	4.55	5.14	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	4.96 ↑ (4.2)	5.66 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
64%

Draw
19.2%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

24.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G)
11. Imaz J. (C)
72. Jozwiak K.
4. Kobayashi Y.
85. Kozlowski E.
21. Lozano S.
7. Pozo A.
18. Prip L.
10. Pululu A.
3. Stojinovic D.
27. Wdowik B.
Substitutes
66. Damasiewicz A. (G)
55. Hirosawa T.
25. Jackson A.
. Krasiewicz B.
. Kuczynski M.
80. Pietuszewski O.
5. Polak C.
17. Sylla Y.
13. Vital B.
15. Wojtuszek N.
. Zalewski Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Jozwiak K. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Noiszewski K. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Pululu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, Sylla Y. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Kobayashi Y. ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, Kobayashi Y. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Jagiellonia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jagiellonia is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.25	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
09.11.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWWTW

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