Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 5
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Tipik
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 19, Blue Sport 19
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.25
	2.95	3.50	2.30
	3.05	3.60	2.23
	3.18	3.57	2.35
	3.07	3.57	2.25	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.20
	3.12	3.67	2.28
	3.00	3.50	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.86)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
31%

Draw
26.8%

Anderlecht
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Jagiellonia has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Anderlecht holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Jagiellonia: Drachal D. (Off the roster) Polak C. (Off the roster) Prelec N. (Inactive) Rallis D. (Off the roster) Wojtuszek N. (Inactive) Zalewski Z. (Off the roster).

Confirmed absences for Anderlecht: Biancone G. (Hamstring Injury) Camara I. (Foot Injury) Hey L. (Broken Leg) Koutsoupias I. (Off the roster) Sardella K. (Thigh Injury).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
29	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Anderlecht: 1.06% Jagiellonia: 0.56%

Last Results with these Odds

Anderlecht - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ararat-Armenia	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Anderlecht
Belgian Cup
18.10.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.10.26	Cercle Brugge - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Anderlecht - Reims	3:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.09.26	Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW

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