Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 26

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Bialystok)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Jagiellonia Białystok		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.34	5.25	7.75
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.37	8.68
	1.35	5.37	8.68
	1.34	5.2	7.9	Watch
	1.32	5.1	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)	5.26 ↑ (4.2)	8.04 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
70.3%

Draw
17.9%

ŁKS Łódź
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia Białystok's performance.

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 17. Dieguez A. 27. Wdowik B. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 8. Nene 7. Marczuk D. 11. Imaz J. 99. Hansen K. 9. Caliskaner K.	1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 2. Gulen L. 4. Mammadov R. 37. Glowacki P. 24. Louveau A. 70. Balic H. 16. Dani Ramirez 14. Mokrzycki M. 26. Szeliga B. (C) 20. Janczukowicz P.
Substitutes
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 4. Haliti J. 14. Kubicki J. 18. Kupisz T. 77. Laski W. 36. Lewicki J. 28. Naranjo J. 39. Nguiamba A. 10. Pululu A.	99. Arndt D. (G) 11. Hoti E. 21. Juric S. 30. Koprowski O. 22. Labedzki J. 27. Letniowski J. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 9. Tejan K. 19. Zajac J.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Matysiak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Nene ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
33', Louveau A. 🟥,
41', 2 - 0, Marczuk D. ⚽, Romanczuk T. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Hoti E. ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
46', Szeliga B. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,
46', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
61', Caliskaner K. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
63', Glowacki P. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Imaz J. ⚽, Romanczuk T. (A),
69', 4 - 0, Pululu A. (Pen),
70', Balic H. ↓, Zajac J. ↑,
71', Marczuk D. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
71', Romanczuk T. ↓, Naranjo J. ↑,
78', 5 - 0, Kubicki J. ⚽,
80', Hansen K. ↓, Kupisz T. ↑,
80', Wdowik B. ↓, Lewicki J. ↑,
83', Dani Ramirez ↓, Labedzki J. ↑,
83', 6 - 0, Nene ⚽, Kupisz T. (A),
90', Kubicki J. 🟨,
90+3', 7 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Jagiellonia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches ŁKS is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Jagiellonia is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.03.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	2:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWT
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 ✺
28.02.24	Stal Mielec - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
23.02.24	Pogoń Szczecin - ŁKS Łódź	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.09.23	ŁKS Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2
10.06.20	ŁKS Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:3
03.11.19	Jagiellonia Białystok - ŁKS Łódź	2:0
06.05.12	Jagiellonia Białystok - ŁKS Łódź	2:1

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