Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Bialystok)


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.5
	1.57	4	4.35
	1.77	3.75	3.6
	1.83	3.74	3.43
	1.78	3.76	3.68	Watch
	1.7	3.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)	3.72 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
52%

Draw
23.7%

Ursus Warszawa
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

24.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jagiellonia II Białystok's performance.

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursus Warszawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jagiellonia II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Recent matches Jagiellonia II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursus Warszawa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Błonianka Błonie - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLW
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Legionovia Legionowo	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Unia Skierniewice - Ursus Warszawa	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Concordia Elbląg - Ursus Warszawa	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ursus Warszawa - Olimpia Zambrów	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.04.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	2:0
11.09.21	Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3
05.12.20	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	2:2
10.06.17	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	0:1

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