Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria (Monteria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.15	2.08
	4.12	3.25	2.07
	3.91	3.24	2	Watch
	3.75	3	2
	3.91	3.1	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.77)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
24.2%

Draw
29.7%

Independiente Medellín
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez D. (G) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 22. Ordonez C. 29. Henao C. 20. Castano M. 13. Hinestroza J. 4. Mosquera Y. 23. Mosquera F. (C) 19. Moreno Y. 16. Mejia J. 8. Rodriguez Urango D.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 4. Mantilla K. 24. Ortiz J. 2. Chaverra L. (C) 8. Serna A. 26. Mena Perea E. 13. Chaverra F. 16. Loboa H. 20. Montano J. 9. Larrosa E. 31. Moreno D.
Substitutes
14. Angulo Castro B. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 24. Cubides S. 25. Jimenez L. 10. Jopito 26. Lopez D. 12. Mosquera F. (G)	25. Chaux E. (G) 5. Escorcia L. 18. Fabra F. 19. Fydriszewski F. 17. Mancilla G. 15. Maturana L. 6. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 14. Perlaza B.
Coaches
Florentin G.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Loboa H. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Urango D. ⚽, Mejia J. (A),
41', Mantilla K. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 🟨,
56', Ordonez C. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Chaverra L. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Moreno Y. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
68', Larrosa E. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
68', Loboa H. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
68', Mena Perea E. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Montano J. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
74', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, Jopito ↑,
74', Mosquera F. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
80', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
84', Mejia J. 🟨,
89', Moreno D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
90+5', Hinestroza J. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.

Jaguares de Córdoba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Medellín - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
09.03.26	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Independiente Medellín
Copa Libertadores
12.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.02.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
07.08.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	0:1
31.07.25	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1
Colombian Primera A
28.10.24	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	4:1
07.04.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	2:2
02.09.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	1:1
19.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0
22.10.22	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0

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