The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jahn Regensburg 31.6%
Draw 26.3%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
25.2%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
24.1%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fortuna will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hermann H. (G) 25. Oliveira N. 4. Strauss F. (C) 13. Majetschak E. 37. Wurm L. 44. Karbstein M. 35. Hingerl S. 29. Fein A. 7. Schonfelder O. 10. Boujellab N. 27. Hermes L.
22. Lord L. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 7. Wekesser E. 5. Bouchama Y. 6. Muller A. 8. Hendrix J. (C) 10. Forster P. 34. Slimani A. 9. Hottmann E.
Substitutes
26. Bauer B. 34. Hobsch P. 21. Jano Z. 36. Kieffer B. 31. Matzler L. 8. Philipp D. 20. Posselt J. 23. Schmitt M. (G) 40. Seibold J.
38. Arden E. 16. Benger M. 4. Bornschein L. 14. Consbruch J. 11. Eixler L. 23. Gerezgiher F. 1. Riess L. (G) 24. Schleusener F. 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Hildmann S.
Ende A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Boujellab N. ⚽, Fein A. (A),
20', Egouli E. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Wekesser E. ⚽, van der Sloot S. (A),
24', Boujellab N. 🟨,
28', Karbstein M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Forster P. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
58', van der Sloot S. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
58', Hottmann E. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
62', Wurm L. 🟨,
67', Hingerl S. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,
67', Oliveira N. ↓, Bauer B. ↑,
73', Slimani A. ↓, Eixler L. ↑,
79', Fein A. ↓, Seibold J. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Eixler L. ⚽,
84', Bouchama Y. 🟨,
85', Boujellab N. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
85', Majetschak E. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
87', Wekesser E. ↓, Bornschein L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 0.
Regensburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fortuna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Fortuna has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Regensburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Dusseldorf
7
3
1
3
6:7
-1
10
13
Regensburg
8
2
2
4
18:17
1
8
Last Results with these Odds
Jahn Regensburg - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.93%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.