The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaraíz 62.8%
Draw 23.6%
Calamonte 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
22.2%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
21%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Jaraíz - Calamonte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Ferra R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Jaraíz have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Calamonte is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Jaraíz is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
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