Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sultan Ibrahim Stadium (Johor Bahru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Johor Darul Takzim		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.63	3.38	2.67
	3.06	3.23	2.28	Watch
	2.66	3.41	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.84)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.55 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johor Darul Takzim
34.5%

Draw
28.4%

Machida Zelvia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Johor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Johor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Johor (1.78) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Johor (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hazmi S. (G) 5. Antonio Cristian 23. Israfilov E. 33. Silva J. 42. Aiman A. 36. Parra R. 28. Mendez N. 4. Fazail A. (C) 24. Arribas O. 47. Aketxe A. 9. Bergson	1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 3. Shoji G. (C) 19. Nakayama Y. 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 8. Sento K. 11. Masuyama A. 10. Na Sang-Ho 7. Soma Y. 9. Fujio S.
Substitutes
77. Bermejo C. 22. Corbin-Ong L. 44. Cuesta M. 21. Faiz N. 88. Hidalgo M. 30. Insa N. 11. Jairo 14. Lowry S. 13. Park J. 3. Saad S. 20. Teto A. 58. Zubiaurre A. (G)	44. Arai Y. (G) 15. Duke M. 26. Hayashi K. 2. Imai T. 13. Morita T. (G) 20. Nishimura T. 22. Numata T. 90. Oh Se-Hun 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R.
Coaches
Xisco	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Soma Y. (Pen),
30', Fazail A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
46', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
65', Bergson ↓, Jairo ↑,
70', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
70', Sento K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
73', Mendez N. ↓, Insa N. ↑,
73', Silva J. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
84', Mochizuki H. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,

Preview

Johor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Johor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Machida Zelvia - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.07%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johor Darul Takzim FC
ASEAN Club Championship
25.09.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Bangkok United	4:0 ✺
Malaysian Super League
21.09.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Sabah FA	8:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Buriram United - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
Malaysian Super League
11.09.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Penang	6:0 ✺
28.08.25	Imigresen - Johor Darul Takzim	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.25	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTTTL

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