Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Kyoto Sanga		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.40	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.40	1.89
	3.68	3.85	1.96
	3.65	3.76	1.93	Watch
	3.60	3.75	1.89
	3.64	3.85	1.95	Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.71)	3.67 ↓ (3.98)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
25.4%

Draw
25.5%

Machida Zelvia
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

23.7%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

23.1%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kyoto Sanga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.

Kyoto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Machida Zelvia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Machida Zelvia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Machida Zelvia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Kyoto has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kyoto against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 1.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Machida	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
20.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Svay Rieng	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties
Japan J1 League
23.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
Japan J1 League
07.05.25	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
30.11.24	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
06.05.24	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	0:3
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	2:1

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