Match Info

J1 League - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	18:00	K-Ball
Japan	19:00	DAZN Japan


	Kyoto Sanga		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.40	1.96	Watch
	3.60	3.40	1.98
	3.70	3.40	1.90	Watch
	3.84	3.62	2.08
	3.73	3.74	1.93	Watch
	3.70	3.60	2.02
	3.67	3.46	2.04	Watch
	3.55	3.40	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.71)	3.5 ↓ (3.98)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
25.7%

Draw
26.9%

Machida Zelvia
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

23.7%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

23.1%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Halls (G) 40. Ishida Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 15. Nagata K. 26. Kato R. 10. Fukuoka S. 24. Morooka H. 44. Sato K. 48. Nakano R. 77. Arai H. 9. Rafael Elias (C)	1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 2. Ouwejan T. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 8. Sento K. 7. Soma Y. 9. Ogawa K. 20. Nishimura T. 99. Yengi T.
Substitutes
38. Everton Maceio 99. Honda F. 11. Marco Tulio 1. Ota G. (G) 62. Shichi T. 17. Souza Alex 5. Tawiah H. 8. Yonemoto T. 25. Yoon S.	33. Akimoto T. 5. Dresevic I. 15. Duke M. 4. Kikuchi R. 31. Lavi N. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.
Coaches
Popovic R.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Yengi T. 🟨,
29', Rafael Elias ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Nishimura T. ↓, Akimoto T. ↑,
58', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
69', Kato R. ↓, Everton Maceio ↑,
69', Nakano R. ↓, Yoon S. ↑,
70', Everton Maceio 🟨,
70', Popovic R. 🟨,
72', Sento K. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
72', Yengi T. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
81', Morooka H. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Akimoto T. ⚽,
89', Ouwejan T. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.

Kyoto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Machida Zelvia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Machida Zelvia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Machida Zelvia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Kyoto: Saito M. (Knee Injury) Sakai K. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Machida Zelvia: Shimoda H. (Red Card).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Kyoto has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kyoto against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Machida	9	6	2	1	22:10	12	20
16	Kyoto	10	2	2	6	11:19	-8	8

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 0.6%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
20.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Svay Rieng	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties
Japan J1 League
23.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
Japan J1 League
07.05.25	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
30.11.24	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
06.05.24	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	0:3
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	2:1

Upcoming Matches