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Current Win Probability
Joinville 41.6%
Draw 34.1%
EC São José Porto Alegre 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
29%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
28.9%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Joinville - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Joinville will win (votes: 9 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Joinville: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joinville will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Rene ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
EC São José is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Joinville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Joinville - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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