Match Info

Date: 25 January 2021, Monday


	Jong Ajax		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.5
	2.66	3.67	2.63
	2.5	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.53	3.72	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.42)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	2.52 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
37.1%

Draw
26.2%

Go Ahead Eagles
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19.3%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Ajax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	22.2%	70.4%

Jong Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Recent matches Jong Ajax is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Go Ahead is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Go Ahead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Ajax won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.01.21	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	1:2 ✺
09.01.21	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	2:2 ✺
05.01.21	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	1:0 ✺
21.12.20	Jong Ajax - Telstar	1:2 ✺
11.12.20	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLT
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
10.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
05.01.21	Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles	2:3 ✺
20.12.20	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.09.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Ajax	0:3
03.02.20	Jong Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	5:1
20.09.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Ajax	1:1
15.04.19	Jong Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	5:2
21.09.18	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Ajax	2:1
09.03.18	Jong Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
20.10.17	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong Ajax	4:1

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