Match Info

Date: 21 January 2021, Thursday


	VVV-Venlo		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.4	2.37
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.4
	2.75	3.15	2.38
	2.87	3.35	2.59
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	2.89	3.34	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.09)	3.31 ↓ (3.72)	2.44 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
33.1%

Draw
28.3%

Go Ahead Eagles
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

17.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VVV-Venlo's form might have worsened.

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Go Ahead Eagles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	15.8%	42.1%

VVV Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 26.4% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Venlo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Go Ahead in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Venlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Venlo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
13.01.21	ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo	1:4 ✺
10.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	2:1 ✺
22.12.20	PSV Eindhoven - VVV-Venlo	4:1 ✺
19.12.20	VVV-Venlo - Twente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
10.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
05.01.21	Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles	2:3 ✺
20.12.20	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.05.16	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2
13.05.16	Go Ahead Eagles - VVV-Venlo	1:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.02.16	Go Ahead Eagles - VVV-Venlo	0:3
11.09.15	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1
19.05.13	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3
16.05.13	Go Ahead Eagles - VVV-Venlo	1:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
25.09.12	Go Ahead Eagles - VVV-Venlo	5:4 pen.

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