The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 33.4%
Draw 25%
Jong Utrecht 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
24.8%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
24.1%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Jong Ajax - Jong Utrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. el Hani A. (G) 2. Appiah A. (C) 3. Johnson J. 4. Muzungu M. 5. Jetten L. 6. Verkuijl M. 8. Abdalla M. 7. O'Niel D. 10. Ouazane A. 11. Nash P. 9. Vink S.
1. Eppink M. (G) 2. Beulens N. 3. Viereck N. 14. Kloosterboer P. (C) 5. Laaouina D. 10. El Arguioui R. 6. Kooy W. 8. van der Wegen S. 7. Sneijder J. 9. den Boggende T. 11. Plantinga V.
Substitutes
17. Butera E. 24. Ibrahimovic M. 23. Kalokoh D. 16. Kasanwirjo K. 18. Messori L. 22. Ouazane Z. 21. Unuvar E. 19. van der Vaart D. 12. van der Velde V. (G) 20. Wolff K.
22. Bouchta D. 19. Dundas N. 21. Edhart L. 31. Eversen J. (G) 16. Ghaddari M. 17. Menzo B. 32. Oladipo L. (G) 13. van den Boogaard B. 15. van Riel J.
Coaches
Nuijten P.
Otten M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, van der Wegen S. ⚽, Plantinga V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sneijder J. ↓, Ghaddari M. ↑,
46', den Boggende T. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
58', Ouazane A. 🟨,
65', Vink S. ↓, Unuvar E. ↑,
65', Nash P. ↓, Ibrahimovic M. ↑,
65', Abdalla M. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
65', Plantinga V. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
66', Laaouina D. 🟨,
77', van der Vaart D. 🟨,
78', Laaouina D. ↓, van Riel J. ↑,
80', Verkuijl M. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
80', Ouazane A. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
84', van der Wegen S. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, El Arguioui R. ⚽, Edhart L. (A),
88', El Arguioui R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 3.
Jong Ajax is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Jong Utrecht has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Jong Utrecht: van Ommeren J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Alders G.
(Inactive)
Heerkens J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:34. (average 2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Jong Utrecht: 0.31% Jong Ajax: 0.25%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Jong Ajax
10
2
2
6
13:25
-12
8
20
Jong Utrecht
10
2
1
7
16:23
-7
7
Last Results with these Odds
Jong Utrecht - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Muzungu M. 
Ouazane A. 
Butera E. 
Ibrahimovic M. 
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