Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 35

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)


	Vitesse		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	4.5
	1.58	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.58	4.46	5.2
	1.58	4.38	4.98	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.63	4.1	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	4.17 ↓ (4.3)	4.86 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
58.7%

Draw
22.2%

Jong Ajax
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

21.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vitesse - Jong Ajax Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vitesse will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 22. Thenu X. 6. Schikora M. (C) 21. Schwarz R. 19. Tahaui A. 13. Pinto J. 20. Bannis N. 7. Hoogewerf D.	1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. Bouwman A. 4. Muzungu M. 5. Butera E. 10. Abdalla M. 6. van der Lans M. (C) 8. Peters T. 11. Ouazane A. 9. Vink S. 7. O'Niel D.
Substitutes
2. Bonnah S. 44. Bouhekan M. 30. Driezen M. 45. Heylen J. (G) 9. Huth E. 33. Marschalk M. 8. Moustafa A. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 27. Zonneveld N.	12. el Hani A. (G) 24. Ibrahimovic M. 17. Jetten L. 20. Johnson J. 19. Kalokoh D. 16. Kasanwirjo K. 25. Nash P. 18. Unuvar E. 15. van de Pavert R. 23. van der Vaart D. 21. Verkuijl M. 22. Wolff K.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Nuijten P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Heerkens J. ↓, el Hani A. ↑,
25', Schwarz R. 🟨,
34', Butera E. 🟨,
43', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Tahaui A. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', van der Lans M. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
58', Tahaui A. ↓, Marschalk M. ↑,
58', Schwarz R. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
63', O'Niel D. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
63', Ouazane A. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Peters T. ⚽, Abdalla M. (A),
69', 4 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
77', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
77', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
82', 5 - 1, Zumberi V. ⚽, Marschalk M. (A),
82', Abdalla M. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
90+1', 6 - 1, Marschalk M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).

Vitesse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jong Ajax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Vitesse is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.39% Jong Ajax: 0.25%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.04.26	Vitesse - Emmen	3:3 ✺
20.03.26	Jong PSV - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Roda - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Vitesse - Almere City	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	De Graafschap - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWWLW
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.04.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong Ajax	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Jong Ajax - Almere City	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Jong Ajax - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.12.25	Jong Ajax - Vitesse	2:0
14.04.25	Jong Ajax - Vitesse	1:1
21.09.24	Vitesse - Jong Ajax	2:2

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