Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Jong Ajax		Almere City

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.5	1.61
	3.9	4.33	1.65
	3.7	4.25	1.75	Watch
	3.69	4.41	1.83
	9.39	4.58	1.34	Watch
	3.7	4	1.75
	3.86	4.3	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.33)	4.34 ↓ (4.51)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
20.6%

Draw
22%

Almere City
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

20.7%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.9%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Jong Ajax - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Kasanwirjo K. 3. van der Lans M. (C) 4. Muzungu M. 5. Butera E. 8. Abdalla M. 6. Peters T. 10. Ouazane A. 7. Jetten L. 9. Vink S. 11. O'Niel D.	1. Wendlinger J. (G) 2. Reith B. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 16. Takahashi N. 21. el Dahri H. 8. de Haan M. 17. Poku E. 10. Rijkhoff J. 28. Providence R. 9. Druijf F.
Substitutes
17. Acheampong L. 12. el Hani A. (G) 16. Frankel L. 20. Ibrahimovic M. 21. Kalokoh D. 19. Nash P. 15. Tilborg S. 18. van der Vaart D.	5. Bijleveld T. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 15. Engel M. 37. Ghogli I. 29. Huisman B. 23. Jacobs Ja. 3. Jacobs Jo. 20. Kalisvaart J. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 31. Mateyo M. (G) 25. Sam A.
Coaches
Nuijten P.	Rijsdijk J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, van de Blaak E. ⚽, de Haan M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van der Lans M. ↓, Frankel L. ↑,
46', Peters T. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
58', Ouazane A. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
58', Butera E. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
74', Providence R. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, de Haan M. ⚽,
78', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
79', Vink S. ↓, Ibrahimovic M. ↑,
88', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
88', Poku E. ↓, Sam A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Almere City is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Appiah A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Ibrahimovic M. (Injury) Regeer Y. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:34. (average 2.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 3:1.9).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Almere City: 12.5% Jong Ajax: 0.25%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almere City	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Jong Ajax - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	5:1 ✺
23.02.26	Emmen - Jong Ajax	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWLWT
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	Almere City - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	Vitesse - Almere City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Almere City - ADO Den Haag	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Cambuur - Almere City	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Jong Utrecht - Almere City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	Almere City - Jong Ajax	3:2
17.03.23	Jong Ajax - Almere City	0:2
14.10.22	Almere City - Jong Ajax	2:3
21.02.22	Jong Ajax - Almere City	1:3
17.09.21	Almere City - Jong Ajax	2:4
30.04.21	Almere City - Jong Ajax	1:0
30.10.20	Jong Ajax - Almere City	1:4

Upcoming Matches