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Current Win Probability
Almere City 59.7%
Draw 19.7%
Jong Ajax 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.3%
20.6%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
20%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Almere City - Jong Ajax Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Almere City will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Speel W. (G) 44. van Bruggen D. 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Lawrence J. 5. Bijleveld T. 14. Hoedemakers M. 6. Cornelisse E. 17. Poku E. 21. el Dahri H. 11. Dors M. 9. Druijf F. (C)
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. van de Pavert R. 3. Spina G. 4. Muzungu M. 5. de Falco S. 6. Verkuijl M. (C) 8. Abdalla M. 7. Unuvar E. 10. Monserrate J. 11. Nash P. 9. Pugno D.
Substitutes
7. Burgering B. 8. de Haan M. 19. de Nijs O. 25. Ghogli I. 18. Huisman B. 10. Jacobs Ja. 20. Kalisvaart J. 24. Mateyo M. (G) 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 33. van Gom J. 2. Wasinski M.
22. Acheampong L. 20. Camara A. 24. Da Silva P. 30. El Hani A. (G) 16. Frankel L. 18. Johnson J. 25. Moumane A. 21. Peters T. 12. Setford C. (G) 23. Simeon J. 17. van der Lans M. 19. Zahouani F.
Coaches
Dastgir A.
Garcia C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Druijf F. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Verkuijl M. ↓, Peters T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Abdalla M. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
60', Hoedemakers M. ↓, de Haan M. ↑,
60', Dors M. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
60', Bijleveld T. ↓, van Gom J. ↑,
68', el Dahri H. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Monserrate J. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
75', Unuvar E. ↓, Simeon J. ↑,
75', Monserrate J. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
75', van Bruggen D. ↓, Wasinski M. ↑,
75', Pugno D. 🟨,
81', Lawrence J. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
82', Poku E. 🟨,
82', Nash P. ↓, Moumane A. ↑,
84', Muzungu M. 🟨,
90', de Haan M. 🟨,
90', Acheampong L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4.
Almere City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Almere City has had a series of away games.
In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Almere City: Vianello T.
(Injury)
van der Zeeuw T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Jong Ajax: Bounida R.
(Injury)
Faberski J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Almere City: Ritmeester van de Kamp J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: van de Pavert R.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:47. (average 1.8:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.7:2).
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Speel W. (G) 
Lawrence J. 
Dors M. 
Spina G. 
Muzungu M. 
Monserrate J. 
Pugno D. 
Wasinski M. 
El Hani A. (G) 
Setford C. (G) 
Dastgir A. 
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