Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Juárez		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3	3.4	1.98
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.46	3.75	2.16
	3.39	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.72	2.07
	3.1	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.88)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
28.8%

Draw
26.2%

Colorado Rapids
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

24.7%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.6%	94.4%

Juárez - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 82.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (G) 4. Abella J. 3. Mosquera M. 15. Calvo F. 34. Orquin R. 25. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 27. Campillo Del Campo D. 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 10. Villalpando D. 33. Garcia A. 29. Zaldivar A.	95. Steffen Z. (G) 2. Rosenberry K. 6. Abubakar L. 5. Maxso A. 3. Vines S. 20. Ronan C. 23. Bassett C. 14. Harris C. 10. Mihailovic D. 7. Lewis J. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
31. Diaz B. (G) 18. Hurtado A. 21. Lopez C. 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 22. Mendez A. 182. Nuno A. (G) 24. Ortega H. 72. Salcedo C. 7. Valoyes D. 30. Venegas J.	22. Anderson S. 41. Bandre E. (G) 31. Beaudry A. (G) 34. Edwards M. 11. Fernandez O. 24. Frederick W. 18. Larraz O. 21. Loffelsend J. 27. Stewart-Baynes K. 99. Travis J. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Zaldivar A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Lewis J. ⚽, Rafael Navarro (A),
41', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
45', 1 - 2, Mihailovic D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 3, Harris C. ⚽,
64', Garcia A. ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
64', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
64', Harris C. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
71', 2 - 3, Hurtado A. (Pen),
72', Lewis J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
77', Venegas J. 🟨,
78', Mosquera M. ↓, Ortega H. ↑,
78', Abella J. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
82', Villalpando D. 🟨,
89', Ronan C. ↓, Loffelsend J. ↑,
90+2', Rafael Navarro 🟨,
90+5', Steffen Z. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Colorado will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Colorado: Chacon D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
CONCACAF League Cup
04.08.24	St. Louis City - Juárez	1:2 penalties ✺
31.07.24	FC Dallas - Juárez	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Juárez - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.07.24	Juárez - Club América	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Juárez - UNAM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLL
- Colorado Rapids
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.24	Club León - Colorado Rapids	1:2 penalties ✺
01.08.24	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	4:0 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	3:2 ✺
17.07.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Colorado Rapids - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLT

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