The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 32.8%
Draw 28.6%
Tijuana 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
27.1%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
27.2%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Juárez - Tijuana Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tijuana will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Tijuana (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 3. Murillo J. 2. Sepulveda G. 26. Pina D. 5. Garcia D. 6. Monchu 183. Rodriguez L. 21. Ricardinho 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 31. Padilla Y. 15. Rivero I. 7. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
20. Aquino J. 201. Carmona J. 24. Diaz B. (G) 17. Dupuy L. 7. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 14. Lopez E. 9. Madson 4. Mayorga A. 13. Rodrigo Dourado
19. Abreu D. 34. Boya F. 13. Elias Manoel 11. Gonzalez F. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 26. Perez A. 20. Zapata A.
Coaches
Lema G.
Abreu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, El Ghezouani M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Monchu 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Monchu ↓, Madson ↑,
56', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
59', Ricardinho ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
59', Murillo J. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
63', Padilla Y. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
65', Zapata A. 🟨,
65', Garcia D. 🟨,
67', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
69', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
69', Arciga R. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
71', Ortiz Orozco P. N. 🟨,
72', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 🟨,
75', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↓, Carmona J. ↑,
75', Rodriguez L. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
80', Porozo J. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Dourado ⚽, Pina D. (A),
86', Vega A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Tijuana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Juárez: Romero L.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Juárez: Ayon E.
(Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Tijuana: Fernandez R.
(Injury).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Juárez has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Juárez against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.1:0.6 per game).
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Jurado S. (C) 
Murillo J. 
Pina D. 
Monchu 
Ricardinho 
Rodriguez J. 
Porozo J. 
Rivero I. 
El Ghezouani M. 
Diaz B. (G) 
Guilherme Castilho 
Boya F. 
Gonzalez F. 
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