Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Juárez		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	5.5
	1.7	3.75	4.6
	1.62	3.95	4.95
	1.65	4.17	5.51
	1.71	3.79	4.62	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.33
	1.63	3.95	5.15	Watch
	2	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.01)	3.83 ↑ (3.48)	4.78 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
55.6%

Draw
24.7%

Santos Laguna
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

25.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos Laguna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Juárez - Santos Laguna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Santos Laguna (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juárez will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juárez will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Santos Laguna (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 3. Mosquera M. 26. Manriquez J. 4. Mayorga A. 5. Garcia D. 17. Pizarro R. 11. Puma 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 9. Madson 21. Ricardinho 19. Estupinan O.	1. Acevedo C. (G) 4. Abella J. (C) 23. Gutierrez E. 35. Balanta K. 2. Amione B. 5. Lopez A. 6. Guemez J. 21. Villalba F. 7. Dajome C. 99. Barticciotto B. 20. Palacios K.
Substitutes
24. Diaz B. (G) 13. Fulgencio R. 208. Larios I. 237. Lopez E. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 14. Ochoa D. 183. Silva L. 200. Sosa C. 10. Villalpando D. 29. Zaldivar A.	17. Echeverria E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 11. Lozano C. 184. Luis Vega 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 188. Perez J. 22. Prieto R.
Coaches
Varini M.	Rodriguez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Dajome C. ⚽, Barticciotto B. (A),
45', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ricardinho ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
64', Villalba F. 🟨,
66', Estupinan O. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
67', Puma ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
73', Palacios K. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
73', Barticciotto B. ↓, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↑,
76', Garcia D. 🟨,
80', Zaldivar A. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Zaldivar A. ⚽, Martinez Yepez H. E. (A),
90+2', 2 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Mayorga A. (A),
90+3', Fulgencio R. 🟨,
90+8', Madson ↓, Ochoa D. ↑,
90+8', Pizarro R. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
90+8', Dajome C. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
90+8', Villalba F. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
90+8', Lopez A. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4.

In recent matches, Juárez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santos Laguna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Juárez is the team to beat.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Sordo R. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Murillo J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Juárez - Toluca	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Juárez	2:1 penalties ✺
03.08.25	Cincinnati - Juárez	2:3 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Charlotte - Juárez	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLLWW
- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	3:2 ✺
10.08.25	Santos Laguna - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Santos Laguna	4:0 ✺
03.08.25	Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
29.01.25	Juárez - Santos Laguna	1:0
06.10.24	Santos Laguna - Juárez	0:2
31.03.24	Juárez - Santos Laguna	2:1
29.10.23	Santos Laguna - Juárez	5:1
11.02.23	Juárez - Santos Laguna	3:1
18.09.22	Santos Laguna - Juárez	2:0
18.02.22	Juárez - Santos Laguna	0:0

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