Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	New York Red Bulls		Juárez

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.25	3.62	3.04
	2.78	3.57	2.36	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.98
	1.77	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.77)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
42.1%

Draw
26.4%

Juárez
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

New York Red Bulls - Juárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcucci A. (G) 3. Eile N. 12. Nealis D. 26. Parker T. (C) 8. Stroud P. 75. Edelman D. 70. Rojas A. 19. Carmona W. 14. Morales M. 7. Bogacz W. 16. Hall J.	1. Jurado S. (G) 2. Murillo J. 4. Mayorga A. 5. Garcia D. 3. Mosquera M. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 8. Guilherme Castilho 19. Estupinan O. 21. Ricardinho 11. Puma 9. Madson
Substitutes
13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 6. Duncan K. 44. Edwards R. 10. Forsberg E. 22. Gjengaar D. 42. Hack A. 77. Mehmeti A. 15. Nealis S. 81. Ngoma S. 37. Sofo M. 21. Stokes A. (G) 72. Szewczyk T. (G)	24. Diaz B. (G) 13. Fulgencio R. 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 14. Ochoa D. 17. Pizarro R. 27. Ruiz G. (G) 183. Silva L. 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 10. Villalpando D. 29. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Schwarz S.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Murillo J. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Nealis D. ⚽, Morales M. (A),
55', Puma ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
55', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
60', Edelman D. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
60', Rojas A. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
61', Carmona W. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
74', Madson ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
74', Ricardinho ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
75', Bogacz W. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
75', Hall J. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
84', Morales M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (A),
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
2, Eile N. (Pen),
2, Pizarro R. (Pen),
3, Morales M. (Pen),
3, Garcia D. (Pen),
4, Parker T. (Pen),
4, Fulgencio R. (Pen),
5, Forsberg E. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.

NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Monterrey - New York Red Bulls	2:1 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Chivas Guadalajara - New York Red Bulls	0:1 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	1:5 ✺
16.07.25	New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW
- FC Juárez
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Cincinnati - Juárez	2:3 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Charlotte - Juárez	1:4 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Tijuana - Juárez	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tigres UANL - Juárez	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Juárez - Club América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWTLT

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