Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 5
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV


	Los Angeles Galaxy		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.3	5.25	6.75
	1.32	5.7	7.5	Watch
	1.35	5.5	8.05
	1.29	5.78	9.55	Watch
	1.3	5.6	8.8	Watch
	1.4	5.25	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	5.48 ↑ (4.25)	7.81 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
70.8%

Draw
17.2%

Santos Laguna
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

18.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Galaxy's performance.

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Santos Laguna Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Santos Laguna will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - LA Galaxy (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 2 - 25%). Santos Laguna (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micovic N. (G) 19. Cuevas M. 25. Garces C. 4. Yoshida M. (C) 3. Aude J. 18. Reus M. 6. Cerrillo E. 7. Fagundez D. 11. Gabriel Pec 9. Matheus Nascimento 28. Paintsil J.	1. Acevedo C. (C) 3. Govea I. 19. Ortega H. 2. Amione B. 7. Dajome C. 6. Guemez J. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 22. Prieto R. 9. Carrillo J. 26. Sordo R. 11. Lozano C.
Substitutes
27. Berry M. 21. Lepley T. 12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 77. McCarthy J. (G) 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 17. Ramirez C. 8. Sanabria L. 22. Wynder E. 2. Yamane M. 5. Zanka 15. Zavaleta E.	4. Abella J. 99. Barticciotto B. 17. Echeverria E. 10. Fagundez F. 23. Gutierrez E. 33. Holguin H. (G) 5. Lopez A. 24. Medina D. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 20. Palacios K. 186. Sanchez D. (G) 21. Villalba F.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Rodriguez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Paintsil J. ⚽, Cuevas M. (A),
25', Lozano C. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ⚽, Cuevas M. (A),
45', Lozano C. 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 0, Yoshida M. ⚽,
45+6', Sordo R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Garces C. ↓, Zanka ↑,
46', Carrillo J. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
46', Prieto R. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
46', Guemez J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
53', Govea I. 🟨,
63', Amione B. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
63', Reus M. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
63', Gabriel Pec ↓, Yamane M. ↑,
69', Ortega H. ↓, Abella J. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Matheus Nascimento ⚽, Sanabria L. (A),
74', Yoshida M. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
80', Paintsil J. ↓, Zavaleta E. ↑,
84', Zanka 🟨,

Preview

LA Galaxy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santos Laguna is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of home games.

In this match, LA Galaxy is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul	1:2 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
MLS
19.07.25	Los Angeles - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:3 ✺
16.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLW
- Santos Laguna
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Puebla - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Santos Laguna - Toluca	2:4 ✺
12.07.25	Santos Laguna - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
01.03.16	Santos Laguna - Los Angeles Galaxy	4:0
24.02.16	Los Angeles Galaxy - Santos Laguna	0:0

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