Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II (Chongoyape)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Juan Pablo II College		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	1.77	3.30	4.00
	2.08	3.3	3.35	Watch
	2.08	3.26	3.71
	2.03	3.36	3.64	Watch
	1.96	3.15	3.6
	2.03	3.25	3.66	Watch
	2.03	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.88)	3.28 ↓ (3.6)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo II College
46.2%

Draw
28.2%

ADT Tarma
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - ADT (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo II College will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 26. Agurto F. 60. Miguez P. (C) 33. Almiron M. 19. Reyna P. 18. Ramirez E. 15. Ramirez N. 8. Flores C. 37. Rojas A. 89. Posito J. 79. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P.	30. Valencia J. (G) 23. Narvaez J. 99. Pereyra J. 44. Benincasa H. 28. Soto J. 16. Perez L. (C) 80. Canela Torres J. J. 59. Nunez O. 77. Lucumi J. 32. Bauman J. 27. Hidalgo A.
Substitutes
16. Anton P. 80. Barreto J. 14. Carhualllanqui J. 28. Duran J. 4. Luzquinos S. 97. Rodriguez M. 21. Stucchi J. (G) 31. Toledo J. 71. Villanueva C.	15. Alvino J. 26. Garcilazo J. 18. Mazzo A. 31. Navarro J. 24. Peralta S. 98. Ramos A. 9. Rengifo H. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G)
Coaches
Araujo J.	Usucar F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Posito J. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Ramirez E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Hidalgo A. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
46', Nunez O. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
46', Pereyra J. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
57', Ramirez N. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Posito J. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
67', 4 - 0, Rojas A. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
74', Lucumi J. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
74', Ramirez E. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
74', Posito J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
75', 5 - 0, Valencia J. (Own goal),
84', 5 - 1, Canela Torres J. J. ⚽,
84', Bauman J. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
87', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
87', Flores C. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17).

Recent performances by Juan Pablo II have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ADT's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
17	AD Tarma	11	1	3	7	7:21	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
14.08.26	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLWT
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
15.08.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sport Boys - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
08.03.26	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:3
30.09.25	Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma	1:1
11.05.25	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:2

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