The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Justo José de Urquiza 38.1%
Draw 32.8%
Puerto Nuevo 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
31.9%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
31.1%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Justo José de Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Justo José de Urquiza - Puerto Nuevo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Pena N. ⚽,
90+2', Ferreyra F. 🟥,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 4.
Justo José Urquiza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Puerto Nuevo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Justo José Urquiza might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Justo José Urquiza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Puerto Nuevo - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 24.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.