Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)


	Juventud Antoniana		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.67	3.03	5.24
	1.68	3.18	5.29
	1.57	3.57	5.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)	3.25 ↓ (4.04)	5.39 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Antoniana
55.3%

Draw
27.9%

Independiente Chivilcoy
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

20.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Antoniana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Juventud Antoniana - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perrone F. (G) 5. Arraya L. 4. Carrion A. 10. Esparza M. 9. Franzoni J. 8. Frutos S. 2. Lopez J. 7. Mamani M. 11. Palacios J. 6. Sanabria I. 3. Viano L.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 5. Bassi E. 10. Benitez E. 3. Borgognoni G. 6. Ciancio V. 11. Giaccone F. 2. Masino M. 4. Mast T. 7. Rodriguez T. 9. Schlotthauer M. 8. Sosa A.
Substitutes
16. Arevalos F. 13. Berizovsky A. 18. Gonzalez J. N. 20. Hoyos M. 12. Montero M. (G) 14. Ortega P. 19. Puntano G. 15. Romero E. M. 17. Taborda G.	18. Barbieri M. 12. Burello A. (G) 14. D'Annunzio N. 16. Fernandez V. 13. Fevola T. 19. Giaccone F. 15. Sanabria A. 17. Veron L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Esparza M. 🟨,
60', Frutos S. ↓, Ortega P. ↑,
62', Sosa A. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
68', Esparza M. ↓, Gonzalez J. N. ↑,
70', Masino M. 🟨,
71', Mast T. ↓, D'Annunzio N. ↑,
71', Benitez E. ↓, Veron L. ↑,
74', Bassi E. 🟨,
81', Carrion A. ↓, Berizovsky A. ↑,
86', Giaccone F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
86', Rodriguez T. ↓, Barbieri M. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals))

Ind Chivilcoy is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Juventud Antoniana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Chivilcoy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventud Antoniana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juventud Antoniana is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juventud Antoniana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.09.25	Douglas Haig - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Antoniana	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTL
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0

Juventud Antoniana - Independiente Chivilcoy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide