The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Montevideo 49.4%
Draw 27.9%
Juventud de Las Piedras 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29.3%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
28.4%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.
Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G) 13. Alvarez F. 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 3. Brazionis 8. Cairus F. 4. Cotugno G. 33. Da Silva S. 14. De Los Santos E. 18. Habib T. 37. Oyarzo Y. 39. Vazquez A.
1. Sosa S. (C) 7. Alaniz A. 19. Cecchini E. 8. Izaguirre M. 23. Mas E. 80. Mimbacas F. 37. Peralta R. 26. Pereiro G. 2. Pernicone P. 28. Risso F. 14. Roldan L.
Coaches
Chambian C.
Mendez S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Alvarez F. ⚽,
27', Cairus F. 🟨,
37', Alvarez Wallace A. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Cairus F. ⚽,
44', Roldan L. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Mimbacas F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Habib T. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
49', Pereiro G. 🟨,
52', Izaguirre M. 🟨,
59', Cairus F. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
60', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Dudok R. ↑,
63', Risso F. 🟨,
65', Pereiro G. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
74', Alaniz A. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
74', Izaguirre M. ↓, Mujica I. ↑,
77', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
80', Da Silva S. 🟨,
83', Da Silva S. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
85', Mas E. ↓, Rabino R. ↑,
90+4', Manzur I. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
Racing is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Juventud has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 0.9:0.5).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
9
Racing Montevideo
9
3
3
3
9:8
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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