Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN


	Juventude		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.86	3	4.75	Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.25	Watch
	1.97	3.13	4.68
	2.03	2.8	4.71
	2	2.9	4
	1.94	3.06	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)	4.46 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
47.8%

Draw
31.2%

América Mineiro
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juventude - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventude will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 22. Nathan Santos 75. Rai Silva 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 9. Alan Kardec (C) 10. MP	1. Gustavo (G) 22. Leo Alaba 3. Nathan Pelae 4. Rafa Barcelos 96. Artur (C) 97. Val Soares 8. Felipe Amaral 77. Segovia M. 5. Elizari F. 23. Everton Brito 17. Gonzalo Mastriani
Substitutes
13. Aderlan 25. Alisson Safira 17. Castro M. 36. Costa K. 29. Junior C. 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 27. Ray Breno 34. Rodrigo Sam 3. Titi 6. Wadson	16. Ale 29. Dalbert 2. Emerson Santos 7. Gabriel Barros 55. Goncalves O. 42. Jhonny 45. Ricardo Silva 11. Thauan 19. William (G) 9. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Rai Silva ⚽, Fabio Lima (A),
25', Artur 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Alan Kardec ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
60', Elizari F. ↓, Thauan ↑,
60', Artur ↓, Dalbert ↑,
60', Segovia M. ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
65', Fabio Lima ↓, Wadson ↑,
65', Nathan Santos ↓, Aderlan ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Alisson Safira ⚽, Aderlan (A),
74', Felipe Amaral ↓, Goncalves O. ↑,
80', Rai Silva ↓, Junior C. ↑,
80', Castro M. ↓, Ly I. ↑,
81', Nathan Pelae 🟨,
81', Everton Brito ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Wadson ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0.

Juventude has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

América MG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Juventude has had a series of home games.

In this match, Juventude is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Pablo Roberto (Thigh Injury) Patryck (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in América MG: Cassio Meneses (Knee Injury) Ricardo Silva (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Rai Ramos (Injury)

There are questionable in América MG: Heitor (Injury) Wesley (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
19	America MG ✔	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17

Last Results with these Odds

América Mineiro - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.92%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
23.05.26	Juventude - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Athletic Club - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Juventude - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Juventude - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Juventude - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWTW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.26	América Mineiro - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	São Bernardo - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	América Mineiro - Cianorte	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
06.08.22	Juventude - América Mineiro	0:1
16.04.22	América Mineiro - Juventude	4:1
09.10.21	Juventude - América Mineiro	1:1
24.06.21	América Mineiro - Juventude	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1
17.08.20	Juventude - América Mineiro	0:0
Copa do Brasil
28.02.19	Juventude - América Mineiro	2:1

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