Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 2

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)


	Juventude		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.99	3.37	3.48	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.6	3.04	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.51)	3.1 ↑ (2.89)	2.52 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
31.4%

Draw
30.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 9. Alan Kardec 25. Alisson Safira 20. Allanzinho 11. Fabio Lima 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 14. Mateus Schaffer 22. Nathan Santos 3. Titi	1. Lucas Pereira (G) 9. Carlao 19. Diego Galo 34. Edson Nogueira 37. Esquerda 22. Ivan Alvarino 21. Kauan Alemao 30. Nicolas Careca 33. Renato Palm 7. Ronald Barcellos 36. Tavares Miguel
Substitutes
29. Carlinhos 79. Joao Scatolin 77. LH 5. Luan Martins 47. Marcos Paulo 4. Messias 10. MP 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 75. Rai Silva 27. Ray Breno 6. Wadson	32. Antony 90. Gabriel Correia 35. Hector Bianchi 40. Jardiel 23. Jhones 12. Joao Scapin (G) 24. Lora J. 38. Magalhaes de Freitas L. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟥,
27', Carlao ↓, Hector Bianchi ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Alan Kardec ↓, LH ↑,
60', Ronald Barcellos ↓, Jardiel ↑,
60', Walnut ↓, Lora J. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Tavares Miguel ⚽,
68', Nathan Santos ↓, Joao Scatolin ↑,
68', Fabio Lima ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
68', Allanzinho ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
70', Tavares Miguel ↓, Magalhaes de Freitas L. G. ↑,
70', Hector Bianchi ↓, Antony ↑,
74', Jardiel 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, Diego Galo ⚽,
81', Magalhaes de Freitas L. G. 🟨,
90+6', Alisson Safira 🟨,

Preview

Juventude has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Novorizontino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Juventude - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.14%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
25.03.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Avaí - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Juventude - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
12.03.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Juventude	1:2 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Juventude - Guaporé	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
25.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Jacuipense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Mixto - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.08.23	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
22.04.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Juventude	1:0

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