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Current Win Probability
Paris Saint-Germain 87.8%
Draw 8.2%
Troyes 4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
85.1%
10.2%
4.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
10%
30%
Paris Saint Germain - Troyes Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 24 - 60%). Troyes will win (votes: 12 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 44.8% – 75.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 11).
PSG has the most likely position - 1 (92.53%), has project points - 94, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (93%).
Troyes has the most likely position - 15 (9.07%), has project points - 42, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality66, importance39, match rating53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 4.
PSG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Troyes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match PSG is absolute favorite.
There will not play in PSG: Pembele T.
(Knee Injury)
Pereira D.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Troyes: Agoume L.
(Muscle Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches PSG won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26-4.
Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.