Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)

Referee: Hamel J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video, Canal+ Family
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Ajaccio		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	10	6	1.25	Watch
	11.5	5.75	1.27
	10.5	5.75	1.27
	11	5.8	1.25
	13.06	6.09	1.27
	12	5.5	1.27	Watch
	11.5	5.9	1.26	Watch
	11	6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.32 ↑ (10.17)	5.85 ↓ (5.93)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
8.4%

Draw
16.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.3%

15.9%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.6%	7.3%	82.1%

Ajaccio - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (101 of 123 users predict this - 82.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.34% – 88.88%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (11.55%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

PSG has the most likely position - 1 (90.01%), has project points - 92, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (99%), has a good chance of win league (90%).

This event has quality 67, importance 40, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PSG is certain favorite.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Laci Q. (Injury) Mayembo F. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P. (Muscle Injury) Mendes N. (Thigh Injury) Neymar (Yellow Cards) Pembele T. (Knee Injury) Pereira D. (Thigh Injury) Ramos S. (Red Card) Rico S. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
16.10.22	Troyes - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Olympique Marseille - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Ajaccio - Clermont	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Brest - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Ajaccio - Nice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TWLWL
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
16.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Benfica	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.10.22	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.10.22	Benfica - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Coupe de la Ligue
17.12.14	Ajaccio - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3
French Ligue 1
11.01.14	Ajaccio - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
18.08.13	Paris Saint-Germain - Ajaccio	1:1
11.01.13	Paris Saint-Germain - Ajaccio	0:0
19.08.12	Ajaccio - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0

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