Match Info

NICARAGUA: LIGA PRIMERA - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Juventus Managua		Walter Ferretti

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	3.81	3.51	1.79
	3.92	3.72	1.85
	3.75	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.04)	3.6 ↑ (3.32)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus Managua
24.2%

Draw
25.4%

Walter Ferretti
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.7%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

25.8%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walter Ferretti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus Managua than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventus won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Walter Ferretti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Juventus won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 34-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventus won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
12.04.23	UNAN Managua - Juventus Managua	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Juventus Managua - Real Estelí	0:7 ✺
02.04.23	Diriangén - Juventus Managua	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Juventus Managua - Matagalpa	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Juventus Managua - Managua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTW
- Deportivo Walter Ferretti
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
12.04.23	Matagalpa - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Walter Ferretti - Municipal Jalapa	3:2 ✺
02.04.23	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Managua - Walter Ferretti	2:2 ✺
17.03.23	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
19.02.23	Walter Ferretti - Juventus Managua	0:3
04.12.22	Walter Ferretti - Juventus Managua	5:1
12.11.22	Walter Ferretti - Juventus Managua	2:1
14.08.22	Juventus Managua - Walter Ferretti	0:1
13.04.22	Walter Ferretti - Juventus Managua	2:1
03.03.22	Juventus Managua - Walter Ferretti	0:1
03.11.21	Juventus Managua - Walter Ferretti	2:2

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