Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Vis Pesaro		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.25	2.98
	2.39	3.2	3.17
	2.28	3.2	2.97	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.27	2.99	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	3.02 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
40%

Draw
29.5%

Carpi
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Vis Pesaro - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 6. Di Renzo G. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Zoia R. 77. Durmush M. 55. Mariani E. 7. Pucciarelli M. 20. Giovannini R. 28. Machin J. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 9. Nicastro F.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 2. Verza N. 29. Rosetti M. 5. Figoli M. 33. Pitti E. 11. Casarini F. 28. Puletto F. 10. Stanzani L.
Substitutes
63. Barranco G. 27. Bastianelli R. 24. Berengo N. 15. Ceccacci M. 19. Ferrari T. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 25. Fraternale A. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 14. Jallow S. 2. Piras M. 18. Pisano M. G. 13. Primasso A. 29. Salati U. 99. Ventre A.	8. Amayah P. 44. Benvenuto M. 7. Cecotti T. 77. Gaddini M. 30. Giani E. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 3. Rigo M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 16. Tcheuna R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Giovannini R. ⚽,
44', Giovannini R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Puletto F. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
62', Mariani E. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Jallow S. ⚽,
73', Figoli M. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
73', Verza N. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
73', Pitti E. ↓, Cecotti T. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Jallow S. ⚽,
81', Panelli T. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
81', Giovannini R. ↓, Ventre A. ↑,
81', Durmush M. ↓, Barranco G. ↑,
81', Tonucci D. ↓, Piras M. ↑,
84', Zoia R. ↓, Bastianelli R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vis Pesaro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
04.04.26	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLTWW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.26	Carpi - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Carpi - Pineto	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Livorno - Carpi	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Carpi - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1
07.03.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	2:1
25.10.24	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	4:0
17.03.21	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	0:2
22.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	3:2
08.12.19	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	0:1

Vis Pesaro - Carpi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide