Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 35

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Perugia		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.09	3.15	3.87
	2.01	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2	3	3.3
	2.09	3.24	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.03)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
45%

Draw
29%

Juventus U23
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

28.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Perugia - Juventus U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Moro L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 28. Riccardi D. 13. Stramaccioni D. 31. Tozzuolo A. 21. Ladinetti R. 20. Tumbarello G. 11. Bacchin L. 24. Verre V. 10. Canotto L. 9. Montevago D.	1. Scaglia S. (G) 15. Savio F. 3. Gil J. 23. Scaglia F. 41. Cudrig N. 5. Macca F. 16. Faticanti G. 26. Pagnucco F. 10. Anghele L. 19. Oboavwoduo J. 17. Guerra S.
Substitutes
5. Angella G. 98. Bolsius D. 15. Dell'Orco C. 19. Dottori C. 2. Esculino I. 4. Joselito 23. Lisi F. 90. Nepi A. 99. Nwanege K. 73. Polizzi M. 55. Strappini S. (G) 17. Terrnava D.	11. Amaradio L. 18. Brugarello M. 39. Cerri L. 9. Deme S. 29. Fuscaldo M. (G) 21. Gunduz T. 32. Licina A. 22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 30. Mazur P. 8. Owusu A. 7. Puczka D. 24. van Aarle S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Anghele L. ⚽,
14', Savio F. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Guerra S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cudrig N. ↓, Puczka D. ↑,
46', Canotto L. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Ladinetti R. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Tumbarello G. ↓, Dottori C. ↑,
71', Oboavwoduo J. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
71', Anghele L. ↓, Deme S. ↑,
79', Ladinetti R. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
83', Guerra S. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
85', Verre V. ↓, Joselito ↑,
85', Bacchin L. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
90', Macca F. ↓, Owusu A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Perugia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Juventus U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Perugia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	9:12	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Perugia - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.33%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
29.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Perugia - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Arezzo - Perugia	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Perugia - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Livorno - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTTWW
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.26	Juventus U23 - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Forlì - Juventus U23	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Pontedera - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Campobasso - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.25	Juventus U23 - Perugia	1:0
25.02.24	Perugia - Juventus U23	2:0
22.10.23	Juventus U23 - Perugia	0:2

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