The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 28.9%
Draw 26.8%
Atlante 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.8%
27.5%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
26.9%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juárez's form might have worsened.
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Juárez - Atlante Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 5. Garcia D. 3. Murillo J. 2. Sepulveda G. 26. Pina D. 183. Rodriguez L. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 9. Madson 21. Ricardinho 8. Guilherme Castilho 19. Estupinan O.
1. Jimenez O. (C) 29. Portales W. 6. Carrera J. N. 4. Tercero E. 44. Quiros A. 34. Jimenez E. 30. Martin Sarrafiore 8. Pizzuto E. 19. Calzadilla L. 9. Puente L. 7. Jhojan Julio
Substitutes
20. Aquino J. 201. Carmona J. 24. Diaz B. (G) 17. Dupuy L. 14. Lopez E. 4. Mayorga A. 250. Molina B. 6. Monchu 23. Ortega H. 11. Rodriguez J.
32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 22. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 37. Clar W. 25. Fernandez M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 16. Gonzalez D. 11. Moxica J. 3. Sanchez L.
Coaches
Lema G.
Herrera M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
60', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Monchu ↑,
64', Jhojan Julio 🟨,
65', Puente L. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
65', Portales W. ↓, Bagui Tobar D. O. ↑,
70', Ricardinho ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
71', Madson ↓, Molina B. ↑,
73', Jimenez E. 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, Carrera J. N. ⚽, Martin Sarrafiore (A),
78', Pina D. 🟨,
80', Jimenez E. ↓, Clar W. ↑,
80', Jhojan Julio ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
80', Pina D. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
85', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
90', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
90+5', Pizzuto E. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Atlante could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Juárez: Nevarez Pulgarin F. J.
(Yellow Cards)
Romero L.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Atlante: Meza H.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Juárez: Ayon E.
(Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Juárez has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Juárez against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Atlante
14
3
5
6
14:20
-6
14
18
Juarez
14
1
2
11
9:33
-24
5
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Atlante: 0.61%
Last Results with these Odds
Juárez - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Atlante - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Jurado S. (C) 
Murillo J. 
Pina D. 
Rodrigo Dourado 
Ricardinho 
Portales W. 
Quiros A. 
Jhojan Julio 
Monchu 
Rodriguez J. 
Clar W. 
Fernandez M. 
