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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 73.3%
Draw 16.9%
Juárez 9.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.8%
20%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
19.1%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Cruz Azul - Juárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudino A. (G) 2. Mozo A. 17. Garcia A. 12. Montes A. 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 6. Lira E. (C) 19. Rodriguez C. 7. Ibanez N. 10. Montano A.
1. Jurado S. (C) 203. Carmona L. 2. Sepulveda G. 26. Pina D. 14. Lopez E. 5. Garcia D. 183. Rodriguez L. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 21. Ricardinho 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
14. Calero J. 60. Castro A. 11. Ebere C. 21. Fernandez G. 55. Gonzalez R. 16. Marquez J. 23. Mier K. (G) 5. Orozco J. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L.
201. Carmona J. 17. Dupuy L. 8. Guilherme Castilho 9. Madson 4. Mayorga A. 250. Molina B. 3. Murillo J. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 27. Ruiz G. (G) 16. Sigala J.
Coaches
Huiqui J.
Lema G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Montano A. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Mozo A. (A),
28', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Campos O. ⚽, Montano A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lopez E. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
46', Ricardinho ↓, Madson ↑,
46', Mozo A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
51', Madson 🟨,
51', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
55', 4 - 0, Palavecino A. ⚽,
61', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
61', Palavecino A. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
72', Rodriguez J. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
74', Montano A. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
75', 5 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
77', Estupinan O. ↓, Molina B. ↑,
80', Garcia D. ↓, Sigala J. ↑,
89', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
89', Fernandez G. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
Cruz Azul has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Juárez has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Cruz Azul as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Cruz Azul: Levy M.
(Knee Injury)
Morales A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Juárez: Aquino J.
(Red Card)
Romero L.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Cruz Azul: Paradela J.
(Muscle Injury)
Rotondi C.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Juárez: Ayon E.
(Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury).
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:12 (averaging 1.9:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruz Azul against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:4 goals (averaging 2.3:0.4 per game).
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Gudino A. (G) 
Piovi G. 
Pina D. 
Ricardinho 
Rodriguez J. 
Estupinan O. 
Ebere C. 
Fernandez G. 
Guilherme Castilho 
Ruiz G. (G) 
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