The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juárez 47.4%
Draw 26%
Atlético San Luis 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
26%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
25.8%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
37.5%
37.5%
Juárez - Atlético San Luis Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético San Luis: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 2. Murillo J. 26. Manriquez J. 4. Mayorga A. 5. Garcia D. 6. Monchu 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 29. Ayon E. 11. Puma 9. Madson
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 6. Juanpe 31. Aguila E. 18. Cruz A. 11. Rodriguez D. 5. Meraz R. 21. Macias O. 7. Galdames B. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao (C) 10. Salles-Lamonge S.
Substitutes
22. Aquino J. 201. Carmona J. 203. Carmona L. A. 24. Diaz B. (G) 17. Dupuy L. 13. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 21. Ricardinho 183. Silva L.
25. Barajas F. 4. Dominguez J. 17. Duarte A. 20. Flores L. 14. Garcia M. 34. Lajud G. (G) 15. Lucas Esteves 19. Munoz S. 26. Perez S. 3. Robson Bambu
Coaches
Caixinha P.
Chabrand R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ayon E. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Ayon E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 2 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Galdames B. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
61', Meraz R. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
66', Ayon E. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
66', Madson ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
78', Cruz A. ↓, Lucas Esteves ↑,
78', Macias O. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
81', Duarte A. 🟨,
85', Rodriguez D. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
90', Garcia D. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
90+1', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
90+6', Puma ↓, Carmona J. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3.
Juárez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético San Luis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
Juárez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Juárez: Lopez E.
(Red Card)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
Medina J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
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Jurado S. (C) 
Murillo J. 
Monchu 
Puma 
Madson 
Rodriguez D. 
Joao Pedro Galvao (C) 
Salles-Lamonge S. 
Ricardinho 
Duarte A. 
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