Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Juárez		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1
	3.50	3.40	2.00
	3.35	3.3	2.05
	3.57	3.52	2.16
	3.7	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.65	3.45	2.05
	3.73	3.34	2.11	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	2.08 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
26.6%

Draw
27.8%

Pachuca
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Juárez - Pachuca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Pachuca (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pachuca will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 20. Aquino J. 3. Murillo J. 2. Sepulveda G. 4. Mayorga A. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 5. Garcia D. 10. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 11. Rodriguez J. 14. Lopez E. 19. Estupinan O.	25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 15. Venegas F. 30. Rodriguez S. 16. Rivera C. 29. Kenedy 10. Montiel E. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
24. Diaz B. (G) 17. Dupuy L. 7. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 9. Madson 6. Monchu 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 23. Ortega H. 21. Ricardinho 16. Sigala J.	9. Alcaraz A. 187. Alvarez G. 28. Arroyo A. 26. Bautista A. 32. Budib P. 206. Contreras T. A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 6. Isais M. 7. Pizarro R. 21. Vallejo N.
Coaches
Valero S.	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Garcia D. 🟨,
27', Murillo J. 🟨,
42', Lopez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Aquino J. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽, Sanchez C. (A),
56', Lopez E. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
63', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
65', Montiel E. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
65', Idrissi O. ↓, Vallejo N. ↑,
70', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Monchu ↑,
70', Garcia D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
70', Aquino J. ↓, Madson ↑,
71', Kenedy ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
77', Rivera C. 🟨,
80', Rondon S. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
80', Rodriguez S. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
83', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
85', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
87', Sanchez C. 🟨,
88', Mayorga A. 🟨,
90+5', Venegas F. 🟨,
90+10', 0 - 2, Bautista A. ⚽, Vallejo N. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2.

Recent form of Juárez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pachuca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.

Pachuca could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Juárez: Romero L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pachuca: Dominguez A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Ayon E. (Injury) Dupuy L. (Injury) Romero B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Last Results with these Odds

Juárez - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.05%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
30.08.26	Toluca - Juárez	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Juárez - Club América	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Monterrey - Juárez	6:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Real Salt Lake - Juárez	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Juárez	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
29.08.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Pachuca - Puebla	2:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Charlotte - Pachuca	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Columbus Crew - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Pachuca - Juárez	2:0
23.11.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:1
18.10.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:2
01.03.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:2
09.11.24	Pachuca - Juárez	0:1
02.03.24	Pachuca - Juárez	3:2
20.10.23	Juárez - Pachuca	0:1

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