The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 26.8%
Draw 26.8%
Gamba Osaka 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
26.9%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
25.5%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamba Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
1. Kawashima E. (G) 38. Kawaguchi N. 3. Morioka R. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 25. Nakamura S. 16. Leo Gomes 39. Sumi K. 26. Nishikubo S. 20. Sato R. 33. Kawai T.
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 24. Egawa Y. 4. Kurokawa K. 6. Lavi N. 16. Suzuki T. 15. Kishimoto T. 38. Nawata G. 97. Welton 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
13. Abe K. (G) 23. Croux J. 6. Kaneko D. 71. Masui K. 11. Matheus Peixoto 35. Park S. 8. Tameda H. 50. Uemura H. 67. Yoshimura R.
2. Fukuoka S. 22. Ichimori J. (G) 47. Juan Alano 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H. 51. Mitsuta M. 5. Miura G. 40. Toyama S. 17. Yamashita R.
Coaches
Hutchinson J.
Poyatos D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Matsubara K. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matsubara K. ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
46', Welton ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
57', Sumi K. ↓, Masui K. ↑,
57', Nakamura S. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
62', Lavi N. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
70', Nishikubo S. ↓, Yoshimura R. ↑,
70', Nawata G. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
70', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
79', Leo Gomes ↓, Croux J. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Sato R. ⚽,
87', Kishimoto T. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
88', Croux J. 🟨,
88', Hutchinson J. 🟨,
90+4', Kurokawa K. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Ricardo Graca ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
103', Egawa Y. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
110', 2 - 1, Yoshimura R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 0.
Iwata is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gamba Osaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Kawashima E. (G) 
Ricardo Graca 
Lavi N. 
Hummet D. 
Croux J. 
Park S. 
Hutchinson J. 
Poyatos D. 
