Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)


	Júbilo Iwata		Shonan Bellmare

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.38	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.68	3.3	2.48	Watch
	2.67	3.44	2.57
	2.65	3.47	2.51	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.69	3.32	2.55	Watch
	2.68	3.3	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	2.47 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
34.5%

Draw
27.9%

Shonan Bellmare
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.4%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Iwata (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 8. Tameda H. 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 6. Kaneko D. 7. Uehara R. 39. Sumi K. 23. Croux J. 20. Sato R. 71. Masui K.	99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 8. Ono K. 32. Matsumura S. 50. Fujii T. 14. Barada A. 3. Hata T. 15. Okuno K. 13. Hiraoka T. 10. Suzuki A. 19. Fukuda S.
Substitutes
13. Abe K. (G) 46. Ishizuka R. 45. Kai Y. 38. Kawaguchi N. 33. Kawai T. 2. Kawasaki I. 11. Matheus Peixoto 3. Morioka R. 26. Nishikubo S.	18. Ikeda M. 20. Ishibashi S. 27. Luiz Phellype 16. Nemoto R. 22. Oiwa K. 25. Okuno H. 7. Onose K. 31. Sanada K. (G) 4. Tachi K.
Coaches
Hutchinson J.	Yamaguchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kaneko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
46', Hata T. ↓, Tachi K. ↑,
55', Suzuki A. 🟨,
62', Sumi K. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
63', Fukuda S. 🟨,
68', Fukuda S. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
73', Sato R. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
73', Kaneko D. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
76', Suzuki A. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Uehara R. ⚽,
85', Matheus Peixoto 🟨,
88', Tameda H. ↓, Kawaguchi N. ↑,
88', Ricardo Graca ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
88', Matsumura S. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
90+6', Croux J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Iwata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J League Cup
04.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Tokushima Vortis - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTWW
- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J League Cup
04.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.05.25	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
04.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
Japan J1 League
14.07.24	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	5:0
25.05.24	Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare	3:2
30.07.22	Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
Japan J League Cup
18.05.22	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J1 League
10.04.22	Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata	0:0

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