Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Köln		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.80	3.20	Watch
	1.98	3.90	3.40
	1.97	3.90	3.25
	2.13	4.10	3.37
	2.04	4.05	3.18	Watch
	2.08	3.70	3.25
	2.18	3.94	3.31	Watch
	2.06	3.85	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	3.91 ↓ (3.96)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
46.3%

Draw
24.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Köln will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

In recent outings, Köln has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Borussia M has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Köln holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Köln has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:33 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Viktoria Köln - Köln	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Stuttgart - Köln	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLW
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
03.10.26	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
24.09.26	Siegen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1
09.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:3
22.10.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
02.04.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
09.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	5:2
16.04.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	1:3

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