Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN
Belarus	16:30	Sport TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 5P
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Prime, Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	Sky Sport 258
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Köln		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.90	3.40
	1.95	3.7	3.6	Watch
	2.03	4.05	3.76
	2.03	3.85	3.39	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.65
	2.02	4.01	3.68	Watch
	1.96	3.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.88 ↓ (3.96)	3.57 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
48.4%

Draw
24.7%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

23.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	2.1%	12.5%

Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Köln will win (41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Köln will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 28. Sebulonsen S. 22. Simpson-Pusey J. 24. Lochoshvili L. 3. Sosa B. 6. Skhiri E. 8. Johannesson I. 37. Maina L. 47. Moore M. 30. Bulter M. 10. El Mala S.	1. Nicolas M. (G) 14. Hashioka D. 4. Diks K. (C) 5. Leszczynski J. 29. Scally J. 16. Sander P. 10. Neuhaus F. 26. Ullrich L. 38. Bolin H. 25. Hack R. 3. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
11. Heskey R. 5. Krauss T. 14. Mensah G. 23. Okon-Engstler P. 15. Rondic I. 2. Schmied J. 29. Thielmann J. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)	33. Batz D. (G) 2. Chiarodia F. C. 27. Fleck F. 20. Herold D. 22. Konoplya Y. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 34. Nguefack M. 47. Uno Z.
Coaches
Wagner R.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Bulter M. 🟨,
24', Leszczynski J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Johannesson I. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Scally J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Skhiri E. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
64', Lidberg I. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
64', Hack R. ↓, Mohya W. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
68', Neuhaus F. ↓, Uno Z. ↑,
78', El Mala S. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
78', Lochoshvili L. ↓, Schmied J. ↑,
80', Hashioka D. ↓, Fleck F. ↑,
80', Leszczynski J. ↓, Chiarodia F. C. ↑,
81', Uno Z. 🟨,
85', Moore M. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
90+2', Maina L. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
90+6', Machino S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

Köln has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Borussia M has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Köln holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Köln: Ache R. (Thigh Injury) Castro-Montes A. (Muscle Injury) Dallinga T. (Knee Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Borussia M: Castrop J. (Shoulder Injury) Honorat F. (Muscle Injury) Kuhn N. (Muscle Injury) Leopold E. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Borussia M: Itakura K. (Ankle Injury) Kleindienst T. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Köln has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:33 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
18	B. Monchengladbach	7	1	0	6	11:22	-11	3

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

B. Monchengladbach: 0.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Viktoria Köln - Köln	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Köln - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Stuttgart - Köln	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLW
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
03.10.26	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
24.09.26	Siegen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1
09.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:3
22.10.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
02.04.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
09.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	5:2
16.04.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	1:3

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