What is the expert prediction for Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech-republic	Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
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Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	3	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.42	3.35	2.92	Watch
	2.41	3.4	3.13
	2.29	3.42	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.42	3.46	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.29)	3.38 ↓ (3.55)	3.02 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
40.3%

Draw
28.1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.8%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	58.3%	12.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Borussia M will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.2% – 76.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 36. Neumann C. 33. van den Berg R. 39. Ozkacar C. 32. Lund K. 18. Johannesson I. 6. Martel E. 37. Maina L. 16. Kaminski J. 13. El Mala S. 9. Ache R.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 17. Castrop J. 9. Honorat F. 7. Stoger K. 15. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
30. Bulter M. 27. Chavez F. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 44. Kobbing M. (G) 38. Niang Y. 29. Thielmann J. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)	38. Bolin H. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 5. Friedrich M. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 10. Neuhaus F. 42. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) 13. Reyna G. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Castrop J. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
4', 1 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, Johannesson I. (A),
7', 2 - 1, Ache R. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
20', 2 - 2, Sander P. ⚽,
38', Johannesson I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Schwabe M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 3, Castrop J. ⚽, Engelhardt Y. (A),
61', Kaminski J. 🟨,
70', Neumann C. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
70', Johannesson I. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
71', Ozkacar C. 🟨,
71', Tabakovic H. 🟨,
73', Martel E. 🟨,
76', Thielmann J. 🟨,
77', El Mala S. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
77', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
77', Maina L. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Martel E. ⚽, Kainz F. (A),
85', Castrop J. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
85', Stoger K. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
86', Martel E. 🟨,
88', Scally J. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
88', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
90', Reitz R. 🟨,
90+1', Kainz F. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

Recent form of Köln has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Borussia M's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Köln will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Muscle Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Muscle Injury) Sebulonsen S. (Yellow Cards) Simpson-Pusey J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Muscle Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Olschowsky J. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Muscle Injury) Urbich J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	B. Monchengladbach	28	7	9	12	35:48	-13	30
15	FC Koln	27	6	8	13	38:47	-9	26

Last Results with these Odds

Köln - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.52%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.69%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Augsburg - Köln	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
13.03.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1
09.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:3
22.10.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
02.04.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
09.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	5:2
16.04.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	1:3
27.11.21	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1

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