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Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf

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Match Info

  • GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished
  • Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Czech RepublicCzech Republic13:30Nova Sport 3
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    FinlandFinland14:30Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
    GermanyGermany13:30Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
    GreeceGreece14:30Nova Sports 3
    Hong KongHong Kong20:30beIN Sports 2, Now Player
    HungaryHungary13:30Arena 4, Net4+
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    NetherlandsNetherlands13:30Viaplay
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    InternationalInternational12:30Disney+, Onefootball
    Köln Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Köln Fortuna Düsseldorf
    1 X 2
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    Bet_in_Asia 1.96 3.7 4.09
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    Williamhill 1.91 3.6 3.8
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    Bovada 1.91 3.3 3.65
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.83)    		 3.54 ↓
    (3.7)    		 3.84 ↓
    (3.97)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Köln
    49.1%    		Draw
    26.5%    		Fortuna Düsseldorf
    24.4%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    51.1% 25.3% 23.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    52.2% 25.8% 23.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    78.9% 10.5% 10.5%

    Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Köln will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanySchwabe M. (G)
      4. GermanyHubers T. (C)
      2. SwitzerlandSchmied J.
      3. GermanyHeintz D.
    25. BosniaGazibegovic J.
    47. LuxembourgOlesen M.
    17. KosovoPaqarada L.
      7. AustriaLjubicic D.
    11. AustriaKainz F.
    27. BosniaRondic I.
    37. GermanyMaina L.
    		33. GermanyKastenmeier F. (G)
    12. IcelandFridriksson V.
    15. GermanyOberdorf T.
    20. GermanySiebert J.
      5. GermanyHeyer M.
    23. GermanyAppelkamp S.
      6. FranceHaag G.
      8. IcelandJohannesson I.
      7. GermanyPejcinovic D.
    24. PolandKownacki D.
    10. Netherlandsvan Brederode M.
    Substitutes
    42. GermanyDowns D.
    35. GermanyFinkgrafe M.
      8. BosniaHuseinbasic D.
    46. MontenegroKujovic E.
    16. GermanyObuz M.
    26. SwitzerlandRacioppi A. (G)
    49. GermanyTelle N.
    21. GermanyTigges S.
      9. GermanyWaldschmidt L.
    		34. FranceGavory N.
      3. GermanyHoffmann A.
    11. GermanyKwarteng M.
    18. GermanyNiemiec J.
    22. GermanySchmidt D.
    26. GermanySchock F. (G)
      9. NetherlandsVermeij V.
    25. GermanyZimmermann M.
    Coaches
         AustriaStruber G.
    		     GermanyThioune D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 8', Heyer M. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Olesen M. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
    • 56', Rondic I. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
    • 61', van Brederode M. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
    • 62', Appelkamp S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
    • 67', 1 - 0, Kainz F. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
    • 70', Kownacki D. 🟨,
    • 72', Siebert J. 🟨,
    • 75', Kownacki D. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
    • 75', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Niemiec J. ↑,
    • 75', Siebert J. ↓, Hoffmann A. ↑,
    • 79', Paqarada L. 🟨,
    • 87', Maina L. 🟨,
    • 89', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
    • 90', 1 - 1, Johannesson I. (Pen),
    • 90+2', Schmied J. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,

    Preview

  • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).
  • Recent matches Köln is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Fortuna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • In this match Köln is a favorite.
  • There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Lemperle T. (Muscle Injury) Martel E. (Muscle Injury) Pauli J. (Concussion) Thielmann J. (Yellow Cards) Uth M. (Calf Injury)
  • There will not play in Fortuna: Jastrzembski D. (Shoulder Injury) Kwasigroch R. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Köln: Paqarada L. (Injury) Telle N. (Illness)
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German 2 Bundesliga
    14.02.25 Magdeburg - Köln 3:0 ✺
    09.02.25 Köln - Schalke 04 1:0 ✺
    German DFB Pokal
    05.02.25 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 3:2 ET ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga
    01.02.25 Eintracht Braunschweig - Köln 1:2 ✺
    25.01.25 Köln - Elversberg 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1
    LWLWW
    - Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga
    15.02.25 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin 2:1 ✺
    09.02.25 Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1 ✺
    01.02.25 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846 3:2 ✺
    25.01.25 Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:3 ✺
    17.01.25 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7
    WTWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    German 2 Bundesliga
    21.09.24 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln 2:2
    German Bundesliga
    24.05.20 Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:2
    03.11.19 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga
    22.12.13 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln 2:3
    28.07.13 Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - 1. FC Köln
    German Bundesliga
    01.11.26 Union Berlin - Köln ✺
    - Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 3 Bundesliga
    30.10.26 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Meppen ✺

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