Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Israel	Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Köln		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.65	Watch
	1.96	3.7	4.09
	1.92	3.65	3.91	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.8
	1.89	3.65	4.01	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	3.54 ↓ (3.7)	3.84 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
49.1%

Draw
26.5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	10.5%	10.5%

Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 4. Hubers T. (C) 2. Schmied J. 3. Heintz D. 25. Gazibegovic J. 47. Olesen M. 17. Paqarada L. 7. Ljubicic D. 11. Kainz F. 27. Rondic I. 37. Maina L.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 12. Fridriksson V. 15. Oberdorf T. 20. Siebert J. 5. Heyer M. 23. Appelkamp S. 6. Haag G. 8. Johannesson I. 7. Pejcinovic D. 24. Kownacki D. 10. van Brederode M.
Substitutes
42. Downs D. 35. Finkgrafe M. 8. Huseinbasic D. 46. Kujovic E. 16. Obuz M. 26. Racioppi A. (G) 49. Telle N. 21. Tigges S. 9. Waldschmidt L.	34. Gavory N. 3. Hoffmann A. 11. Kwarteng M. 18. Niemiec J. 22. Schmidt D. 26. Schock F. (G) 9. Vermeij V. 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Struber G.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Heyer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Olesen M. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
56', Rondic I. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
61', van Brederode M. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
62', Appelkamp S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Kainz F. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
70', Kownacki D. 🟨,
72', Siebert J. 🟨,
75', Kownacki D. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
75', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Niemiec J. ↑,
75', Siebert J. ↓, Hoffmann A. ↑,
79', Paqarada L. 🟨,
87', Maina L. 🟨,
89', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Johannesson I. (Pen),
90+2', Schmied J. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).

Recent matches Köln is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fortuna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Lemperle T. (Muscle Injury) Martel E. (Muscle Injury) Pauli J. (Concussion) Thielmann J. (Yellow Cards) Uth M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Jastrzembski D. (Shoulder Injury) Kwasigroch R. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Paqarada L. (Injury) Telle N. (Illness)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.25	Magdeburg - Köln	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Köln - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:2 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Köln	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Köln - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:3 ✺
17.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2
German Bundesliga
24.05.20	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
03.11.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
22.12.13	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:3
28.07.13	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

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