Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.33	3.9	Watch
	1.73	4.1	4.2
	1.75	4	4
	1.8	4.17	4.22
	1.76	4.13	4.14	Watch
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.74	4.15	4.24	Watch
	1.75	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	4.11 ↓ (4.23)	4.13 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
54.1%

Draw
23%

Elversberg
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	26.1%	17.4%

Köln - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 4. Hubers T. (C) 3. Heintz D. 2. Schmied J. 25. Gazibegovic J. 7. Ljubicic D. 6. Martel E. 17. Paqarada L. 11. Kainz F. 42. Downs D. 37. Maina L.	20. Kristof N. (G) 2. Baum E. 19. Pinckert L. 31. Rohr M. 33. Neubauer M. 23. Sickinger C. (C) 8. Sahin S. 25. Petkov L. 30. Damar M. 29. Zimmerschied T. 10. Asllani F.
Substitutes
43. Cuber Potocnik J. 35. Finkgrafe M. 46. Kujovic E. 19. Lemperle T. 16. Obuz M. 49. Telle N. 29. Thielmann J. 21. Tigges S. 40. Urbig J. (G)	28. Boss T. (G) 22. Ebnoutalib Y. 7. Feil M. 6. Fellhauer R. 27. Gerezgiher F. 3. Le Joncour F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 26. Sicker A. 21. Stock P.
Coaches
Struber G.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Asllani F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
59', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
64', Neubauer M. 🟨,
75', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
76', Kainz F. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
79', Asllani F. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Ljubicic D. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
83', Gerezgiher F. 🟨,
87', Sahin S. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
87', Damar M. ↓, Stock P. ↑,
90+1', Baum E. 🟨,
90+3', Baum E. 🟨,
90+4', Downs D. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
90+5', Pinckert L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 7).

Köln is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elversberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Elversberg have a series of home games.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Olesen M. (Back Injury) Pauli J. (Injury) Uth M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Fellhauer R. (Ankle Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury) Schmahl F. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Köln: Lemperle T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Köln to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Köln won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.25	Köln - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
22.12.24	Kaiserslautern - Köln	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Köln - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
19.01.25	Elversberg - Magdeburg	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Elversberg - Groningen	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:4 ✺
15.12.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg	0:3 ✺
06.12.24	Elversberg - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Elversberg - Köln	2:2
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Köln - Elversberg	2:1

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