Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Poland	Viaplay
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Köln		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.6	5.5
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.54	4.82	5.74
	1.56	4.68	5.16	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5.5
	1.54	4.85	5.1	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	4.63 ↑ (4.15)	5.34 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
61.8%

Draw
20.5%

Karlsruher
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.7%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Köln - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 29. Thielmann J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 19. Lemperle T. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 42. Downs D.	1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 22. Kobald C. 4. Beifus M. 29. Gunther L. 7. Burnic D. 17. Rapp N. 6. Jensen L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Zivzivadze B. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
18. Carstensen R. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 21. Tigges S.	27. Ersungur A. 35. Geller R. 20. Herold D. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 9. Hunziker A. 16. Pfeiffer L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 39. Zengin E.
Coaches
Struber G.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Waldschmidt L. ⚽,
6', Burnic D. 🟨,
7', 2 - 0, Downs D. ⚽, Paqarada L. (A),
15', 3 - 0, Downs D. ⚽, Paqarada L. (A),
19', 3 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Zivzivadze B. (A),
27', 3 - 2, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 2, Lemperle T. ⚽, Paqarada L. (A),
45+4', Wanitzek M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 4 - 3, Jensen L. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
55', 4 - 4, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Gunther L. (A),
56', Thielmann J. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
61', Gunther L. 🟨,
63', Downs D. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
71', Gunther L. ↓, Herold D. ↑,
75', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
75', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
79', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
86', Jensen L. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
86', Schleusener F. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Köln is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karlsruher in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karlsruher could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Köln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Köln - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Sandhausen - Köln	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWWW
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
22.09.24	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
23.08.24	Karlsruher - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Karlsruher	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.03.14	Köln - Karlsruher	2:0
05.10.13	Karlsruher - Köln	1:2

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