Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Round 1

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kırklareli Atatürk Stadium (Kırklareli)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Kırklarelispor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.15	3.05	2.07
	3.33	3.4	2.03	Watch
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.04	3.88	2.09	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (5.7)	3.37 ↓ (4.27)	2.05 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kırklarelispor
28.6%

Draw
27%

Bodrumspor
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

21.5%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21.1%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kırklarelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kırklarelispor's performance.

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodrumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kırklarelispor than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kırklarelispor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Kırklarelispor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kırklarelispor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Sari M. (G) 34. Yondem R. 4. Ozyurt B. 30. Kaya E. 23. Cetinkaya O. 22. Dikbasan E. 41. Ustun S. 39. Derici O. 61. Kartal T. 10. Karatas E. 7. Taskan D.	53. Akkan G. (G) 23. Ergun U. 29. Herelle C. 95. Basol O. 18. Obekpa G. 21. Aslan A. 41. Bayrakdar G. 91. Ogruce E. 8. Yalcin S. (C) 19. Osman H. 9. Puscas G.
Substitutes
8. Balki E. 9. Barlik E. 66. Candemir Y. 6. Cebeci N. 16. Erginsoy E. (G) 80. Inel B. 18. Ozsoy B.	70. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 33. Celustka O. 78. Cetin A. 4. Degismez E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 48. Dumanli C. 26. Mohammed M. 1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 94. Sertkaya Y.
Coaches
Duman A.	Demirel V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 3)
5', Osman H. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
6', 1 - 0, Derici O. ⚽, Karatas E. (A),
9', Obekpa G. 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Derici O. ⚽,
26', Taskan D. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Basol O. ⚽,
33', 2 - 2, Basol O. ⚽, Ergun U. (A),
37', 2 - 3, Bayrakdar G. ⚽, Puscas G. (A),
45+2', 3 - 3, Derici O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Obekpa G. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
46', Ogruce E. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
47', 4 - 3, Karatas E. ⚽,
63', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
69', Kartal T. 🟨,
69', Yalcin S. 🟨,
72', 4 - 4, Dumanli C. ⚽, Herelle C. (A),
75', Kartal T. ↓, Candemir Y. ↑,
87', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Mohammed M. ↑,
90+1', Ustun S. ↓, Cebeci N. ↑,
90+2', Aslan A. 🟨,
90+3', Karatas E. ↓, Balki E. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kırklarelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bodrumspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kırklarelispor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kırklarelispor
Turkish Second League White Group
22.12.24	Kırklarelispor - Altay	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
19.12.24	Kırklarelispor - Adana Demirspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
15.12.24	Batman Petrolspor - Kırklarelispor	4:1 ✺
08.12.24	Kırklarelispor - Fethiyespor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Kırklarelispor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
05.01.25	Bodrumspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Kastamonuspor - Bodrumspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.12.24	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
21.10.20	Bodrumspor - Kırklarelispor	0:0

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