Match Info

Division 2 - Round 31

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	KKS Kalisz		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.41	4.3	6.2
	1.44	5.26	6.2
	1.46	4.7	6	Watch
	1.35	4.2	8
	1.39	4.2	7.07	Watch
	1.41	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.49 ↑ (3.95)	6.67 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
65.7%

Draw
20.5%

Olimpia Elbląg
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

18%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KKS Kalisz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krakowiak M. (C) 8. Andruszko M. 23. Bialczyk M. 6. Cierpka A. 3. Gawlik M. 24. Glaz J. 10. Gordillo N. 20. Janiak K. 16. Putno B. 42. Smolinski W. 5. Staszak J.	1. Valion A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 5. Gorecki K. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. (C) 16. Szalecki D. 25. Sznajder F. 13. Tobojka M. 30. Wierzba D. 17. Zielinski W.
Substitutes
71. Banasiak P. 12. Ciolek M. (G) 31. Dylewski H. 9. Flisiuk K. 17. Mocny P. 26. Mos B. 11. Skibicki K. 15. Staszak W. 77. Toporkiewicz K.	15. Fyk O. 19. Kozera D. 4. Laszak K. 20. Semeniv D. 7. Skwierczynski K. 14. Tyaglo O. 27. Witan A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Putno B. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
84', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 1.

Recent performances by KKS Kalisz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elbląg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, KKS Kalisz is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KKS Kalisz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
11.05.25	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	KKS Kalisz - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	KKS Kalisz - Resovia Rzeszów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
10.05.25	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
20.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	1:0
27.04.24	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1
13.10.23	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	0:0
25.02.23	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0
Polish Cup
18.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0
Polish Division 2
31.07.22	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	2:2
20.11.21	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	0:1

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