Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 25

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: OTC Stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	Oulu		Inter Turku

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.30	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.30	1.98
	3.95	3.2	1.92	Watch
	4.11	3.53	2.01
	3.9	3.4	1.99	Watch
	4.05	3.45	1.95
	3.9	3.35	1.94	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.08)	3.35 (3.35)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
24%

Draw
27.9%

Inter Turku
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oulu's form might have worsened.

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Oulu - Inter Turku Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - FC Inter (1.95) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Inter Turku will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 18. Cassama A. 25. Arsalo M. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 6. Paananen J. 22. Kaukua T. 9. Riski Ro. 27. Kallio E.	1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 5. Granlund A. (C) 22. Kuittinen L. 6. Ivanov R. 2. Niska J. 14. Laine J. 17. Ampofo B. 33. Suso M. 9. Tuominen J. 16. Jephta C. 10. Conteh A.
Substitutes
23. Ala-Iso S. 14. Jokelainen N. 36. Lotvonen J. 21. Mendolin I. 8. Ojala M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S. 10. Triana C.	4. Ahiabu P. 30. Amankwah Y. 11. Botue J. 19. Jarvinen I. 20. Sandler A. 7. Sjogrell H. 24. Tauriainen J. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G) 8. Yli-Kokko J.
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Vasara V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Laine J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Tuominen J. ⚽,
42', Kemppainen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Riski Ro. ↓, Triana C. ↑,
56', Arsalo M. ↓, Mendolin I. ↑,
56', Kemppainen O. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
69', Suso M. ↓, Sjogrell H. ↑,
69', Laine J. ↓, Ahiabu P. ↑,
75', Triana C. 🟨,
76', Kallio E. ↓, Lotvonen J. ↑,
76', Pitkanen M. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
77', Conteh A. ↓, Botue J. ↑,
78', Tuominen J. ↓, Yli-Kokko J. ↑,
86', Pirinen J. 🟨,
90+3', Jephta C. ↓, Tauriainen J. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 0.

Oulu is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Inter Turku have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Inter Turku may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Inter Turku is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Oulu: Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Oulu has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:25 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oulu against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Inter Turku: 44.5% AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Turku - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWL
- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.09.26	Inter Turku - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	HJK - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Copenhagen - Inter Turku	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	2:3
13.06.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.03.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.08.25	Inter Turku - Oulu	3:2
26.04.25	Oulu - Inter Turku	1:4
24.09.24	Oulu - Inter Turku	1:0
10.08.24	Oulu - Inter Turku	1:0

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