Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday


	Kagoshima United		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.32	3.19	3.21
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.23	3.22	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
40.5%

Draw
29%

Kataller Toyama
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Kagoshima United - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matsuyama K. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 4. Hirose K. 23. Okamoto S. 5. Satsukawa A. 30. Kimura Y. 14. Nodake H. 11. Goryo J. 25. Hanato J. 18. Fukuda M. 24. Fujimoto N.	21. Tagawa T. (G) 3. Ohata R. 23. Rindo M. 5. Imase J. 25. Yasumitsu S. 33. Takahashi Y. 17. Tsubokawa H. 16. Sueki H. 27. Yoshihira T. 7. Sasaki Y. 9. Ono Y.
Substitutes
1. Izumori R. (G) 39. Kawabe S. 10. Romero F. 34. Suzuki S. 46. Take S. 28. Tone I. 27. Yamaguchi T.	30. Arthur Silva 32. Ito T. 4. Kamiyama K. 8. Matsuoka D. 1. Shibasaki T. (G) 28. Shibata S. 39. Takahashi S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Kataller Toyama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kagoshima United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
23.07.23	Kagoshima United - Ehime	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Kagoshima United - Fukushima United	3:1 ✺
01.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
24.06.23	Kagoshima United - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
22.07.23	Nara Club - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Albirex Niigata	3:4 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
15.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Ehime - Kataller Toyama	4:3 ✺
01.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
01.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Kagoshima United	0:2
20.11.22	Kataller Toyama - Kagoshima United	2:4
05.05.22	Kagoshima United - Kataller Toyama	4:1
05.12.21	Kataller Toyama - Kagoshima United	1:1
10.07.21	Kagoshima United - Kataller Toyama	2:2
03.11.20	Kataller Toyama - Kagoshima United	2:0
15.08.20	Kagoshima United - Kataller Toyama	1:1

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